Tuesday, April 24, 2007

A poison gaz analogy

For my 500th post (finally reached this milestone months after yofed) I'd like to tell a little story. Imagine if you will close to 200 persons in a large room each one having the next to him a large container fill with a volatile poisonous substance. This container is closed with a system that allows the person to release gas at various speeds should they want to. No one knows in the room at which point the quantity of gas will make everyone sick in the room or when (or even if) it will kill then. Also they only know one way to get basic necessity, open the gas release a little. So just to live everyone releases a little gas, to see if it will kill thinking well anyway we are going to die if we don't eat. No one die, in fact no one even get sick. So some start releasing more, other being less hungry release only a little more. After a few months, one person is releasing as much gas as everyone else, he is much fatter but no one is sick yet. Suddenly in one corner a few people realize that even if they are not sick yet they are getting weaker and some of the oldest and youngest seems to be actually a little sick. Around that same moment the people that where releasing just a little gas look at the fat one and his few fatter friend and realize that they have been weakening themselves for nothing really so they start to release more and more gas to get more of the necessity.

Now the people that started noticing the creeping weakness gather everyone and start talking about stopping the release of the poisonous gas, about finding new ways of getting those basic necessities, their must be a way since someone is obviously bringing them in. Immediately the fastest and the thinness oppose the idea calling the people bringing it forward doomsayer and anti-thin. The idea is quickly rejected; those people noticing tried another idea, why don't we reduce our gas release to the level of a few weeks ago. The very fatess oppose they idea instantly but some of the rest seem to agree, they weren't sick before so maybe that the good idea, however the thinness people raise their hand in opposition. It's not fair they say, we were not producing much back then but you were and you were getting fat we deserve the right to get as fat as you are.

People start arguing, all the while always increasing their gas production, finally they come to an agreement just about everyone will reduce slowly their emission. The thinness people will have the right to continue for a few more weeks and then they will have to stop. So when they go around some people refuse to get on this idea, including the one that produced the more and some are indecisive. Still the plan get put into motion, some people make great effort to reduce their gas, while the thinness people increase their production to level close to the fatess country and even trying to surpass them the fatess continue on it's merry ways to destruction and everyone complains about the fatess but doesn't do anything because he is so much bigger then they are. The end result of the production of gas is ever increasing, the healthiest people getting sicker because they are reducing their basic necessity the fatest getting fatter and the former thinness people managing to find itself in the list of greatest producer of gas and fatess. The gas level finally reach deadly level and everyone dies with looking at each other blaming the other for the failure of the plan when the plan itself was so flawed as to be useless.

Now you might have understood that I was using this analogy as a comment on the Kyoto accord. This accord is basically the situation outlined above, it won't buy use more time to find another solution, the emission is still increasing thanks to the country that didn't sign, country that signs but aren't respecting it (Canada for example, particularly under the liberal government who to reduce greenhouse gas did less then the conservative), country that singed but are except from it's restriction. The worse thing is that if EVERY country signed and respected the protocols that green house emission would probably still increase because of devellopement in country such as China and India. For the xth time I will repeat, Kyoto is not the answer to the greenhouse problem.

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